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CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 6:00am EST
because he wants to, i don't know, do something with the deficit near term. can we go another five years without having some kind of reckoning in the bond market or somewhere else? >> you know, the european crisis has been quite instructive for my mind in this. but the reality is democracies don't really take tough decisions until they're put under enormous pressure from some external factor, in this case, the stock market. i find myself -- and i still think it today -- that oddly in the events of europe come out of the germans next door with something much more clear about a nurch path of the eurozone, and so people did start to believe the euro is a true global reserve currency to compete with the u.s., that might be the point where the u.s. starts to come under sear use pressure from the markets. of course wrb to some degree, the past -- well, longer, going back to august of last year, the u.s. had this strange benefit that this persisting european crisis is around and sort of global investors can't deal with two huge clem mas at the same time. but i think that would seem to me
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 4:00am EST
seeing that on january 1st this problem still hasn't been solved, that we haven't seen the deficit reduction that we could have had had the republicans been willing to take the deal that i gave them, if they say that people's taxes have gone up, which means consumer spending is going to be depressed, then, obviously, that's going to have an adverse reaction in the markets. >> what about automatic spending cuts? those take effect january 1st, as well. do they have to be part of this deal? you've got half of those cuts in defense law? >> well, congress agreed they would cut an additional $1.2 trillion in spending. they put a committee together to try to come up with those numbers. they didn't figure out how to do it. so what we now have is a situation where these automatic spending cuts go into place. now, if we have raised some revenue by the wealthy paying a little bit more, that would be sufficient to turn off what is so-called the sequester, these automatic spending cuts, and that also would have a better outcome for our economy long-term. but, you know, so far, at least, congres
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 3:00pm EST
job of deficit reduction through spending cuts alone without asking also equivalent sacrifice from millionaires or companies with a lot of lobbiesists, et cetera. if they think that's how we'll solve this, they've got another thing coming. >> from what we hear the senate republicans have gone along with a tax increase. i can imagine what the president said and what they're talking about is not pleasing to you. >> well, looks like another washington deal and not a fair deal. we've got spending problems. we've got entitlement problems. senate republicans have agreed to tax increases, then i think we're missing out on the real part of the package we need to have. that's dealing with a spending problem. >> would you vote for a deal with these tax increases? >> no, i don't think so. when i look at those numbers, we're still trying to sort through those. it looks like at least a million small businesses will see taxes increase. i have yet to see any small business owner that says you increase my taxes, i'm going to grow the economy, i'm going to hire more people. we suppose we want to be
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 1:00pm EST
$16 billion of debt the country is carrying. concerned about trillion dollar deficits that federal government carried over the past four years in its federal budget and they see that something has to change with our spending habits. that's the big concern with constituents in my district that we have to deal with spending first, before we should be talking about tax increases. we can talk about taxes. the president continues to talk about taxes first but we haven't dealt with the real problem and that's the drivers of our debt in our spending. >> all right. thank you, sir. pleasure to have you with us, congressman. >> all right. >> as we mentioned, dow jones was up about 80 points with shofrt while ago when they thought at 1:30, the president was going to announce a deal right now we are only up about 28 points on the dow. 6.5 on s&p and nasdaq is up 25. now to the other side. representative adam shif shif democrat. welcome to "power lunch." >> thank you. good to be with us. >> outlines of news from different news wires and if indeed the details are correct, would you support the m
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 7:00pm EST
it to be spent to buy down things. with $480 billion to decrease the deficit. we had our choice we wouldn't be doing it that way. the government is too big and in effective we could take most of the money by decreasing spending. the 11th hour and there are a lot of people who shouldn't be having tax increases if we don't reach a compromise. so those are two different questions and i'm not about to give up the $1.2 trillion. we haven't cut a penny yet. so, that is not something i'm willing to give up. that is the thing. let start there. your book, your work, your speeches, you have identified hundreds and hundreds of billions of dollars of waste that the government doesn't need and the country doesn't need and it seems to evaporate. and from what i gather, the debate right now is whether to put off the spending cuts, it is always maniana when it come to spending, sir. and you no as well as i do, taxing the successful earners is not going to solve our problem. >> there is one bright side. if this bill happens, 95% of americans are going to have rates locked in. they are going to have
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 9:00am EST
going to fix the deficit and debt problem in this country? we know we have to make hard choices. we know the parties have to work together, and they've got to get to work on this as quickly as possible. >> maya, with the greatest of respect, it seems to me your logic is all over the place. it's very clear the nub of the discussion, the squealing that we have at the moment is whether or not to extend tax cuts. that is, in effect, saying we are going to balloon the deficit further. this is not a conversation about actually fixing the debt, is it? that's not what we're talking about at the moment. we're squealing over, let's keep the deficit big. you seem to be arguing that that's exactly what we should be doing. >> let me explain, because it is more complicated than often things are discussed in washington. the problem with the fiscal cliff is it would put in place deficit reduction, but it would put in deficit reduction too much, too quickly, and with the wrong parts of the budget. so it would let all of the tax cuts expire, it would let many things like the alternative minimum tax h
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 9:00am EST
our long-term debt and deficit problems. here's bob corker. >> i do think there's going to be a resolve to this. the problem is, you know, we created this fiscal cliff to make some tough decisions. and none are going to be made. not one. >> so the question is going to be then, do the tough decisions on spending get made in january and february, running up to the debt limit. we'll see how that goes. we'll see if it actually gets done today. you hear positive things from talk, but you can't trust anything until reid and mcconnell come out on the senate floor and say they have a deal. and then boehner puts it on the house floor. >> it's interesting now, that mcconnell has reached out to the vice president and is doing a deal, specifically that way, rather than involving it would appear at this stage the democrats in the senate. are they now more fractious in actually passing a deal potentially from the gop in the house? >> no. i think it is just dynamics of late-stage negotiations that when you get to the really hard parts, you've got to go higher and higher up the food chain to ge
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 7:00pm EST
economic growth and reducing unemployment versus 19% for reducing the federal budget deficit. tax reform and to end the washington gridlock is also on the wish list, michelle. >> mine, too. >> thanks, hampton. >>> once again, the big story tonight, no fiscal cliff deal and not even a new offer from the white house. three days to go. president obama asked the senate leaders to try to make a deal. we'll get more on all of it from washington next. so, this board gives me rates for progressive direct and other car insurance companies? yes. but you're progressive, and they're them. yes. but they're here. yes. are you...? there? yes. no. are you them? i'm me. but those rates are for... them. so them are here. yes! you want to run through it again? no, i'm good. you got it? yes. rates for us and them -- now that's progressive. call or click today. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] everyone deserves the gift of all day pain relief. this season, discover aleve. all day pain relief with just two pills. >>> welcome back to "the kudlow report." i'm michelle caruso-cabrera in for larry kudlow. we con
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 6:00am EST
matter if they sell a lot at the low price. this year, it's deficit and have a lot of inventory. they have gone from managing sales to inventory, that's where the profits go out the window. they want to sell out than sell off. >> more people bought gift cards this year than bought product? >> you tell me, what was on your list this year new and exciting. >> nothing. i wanted socks and shirts. >> you have two things happening, more gift card because nobody knows what to get you- >> and i returned them. >> and they bought you a bad gift so they frankly didn't know what to get you so they foot go something and you will drive more product. >> for $100 go on a gift card how much doesn't get spent? >> 80% don't spend the money and those that do spend spend 116%. stores do like it when they get you in. 16% never get redeemed, money sitting in a drawer. >> marshall, thank you. >> the big old -- what is that a windsor? >> a windsor. double windsor. >> why? >> you try to change the look. don't always want to go narrow. is that a brioni tie? >> what is this a foreign hand? you will tie tha
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 2:00pm EST
are in outlying years. there is no sense that deficit will hammer us right now. >> i have blajerred on too much. my fault. thank you very much sfls let's hit on as many as we can. jimmy p. joining us. and former governor ed rendell. i think steve brought up an important point, governor, which is this, what do you believe is the ultimate goal. adding 50 $60 bucks to benefits will help them live a more comfortable life. will it help the growth goals of the united states? >> i think the greater growth goals can only be accomplished -- look, there isn't going to do anything to get our debt under control. we we have to go back to the drawing board to deal with entitlement reform, military spending cuts and revenue. it is reported this produces 600 billion in revenue, that's not nearly enough. we have to go back tlt drawing board an and make tough decisions. only taking care of the debt will causey think the chain reaction that will cause markes to the explode. economy to grow bp that's more important than any of the little niches you are talking about. >> when will that time kuk? when wi
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 4:00am EST
the budget deficit and reducing public spending. we have too high level of public spending. and if you reach the level of taxes is too high. so the strategy of the government should be going forward, again, to cap public spending, reduce taxes, to create a favorable environment for corporate. and let me say that france has a lot of advantages. nice infrastructure, good infrastructure, demography, people with skills, a good level of education. we can take advantage of that, even compared with our peers so let's do everything we can to -- the benefit of these positive advantages and not be -- not present people to invest in france because they might be afraid of a lack of visibility on the taxpayers or too high taxes. >> but do you think it's sending the right signal to investors when it's threatening to nationalize a factory? >> no, certainly not. these are not the right ones and clearly what an investor needs is, again, confident. immediately going forward, illustrate will not suffer from taxes or a potential threat. the message should be positive for investors, not just french one
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 4:00am EST
government to spend more, as well. now, the government has been running huge deficits for a while. >> i still find it fascinating looking at the basis of the actual market. given as you say we're about to enter a recession again. you brought a very, very divided and different government scenario which hopefully will be sorted out. but whether or not the japanese underperformance on the nikkei is going to continue, as well, given the comments we've had about the stimulus will flow into the economy. >> the japanese economy is still or at least the large companies are still very export oriented. if the yen depreciate appreciations, that should improve the chances for japanese companies to gain market share all over the world and that should improve earnings prospect, too, and drive up shares. i see that quite simplistic and there is upside if the yen really tanks. of course, we have to keep the currency movements in mind if you're an international investor, of course, examine japan, of course, has a domestic economy, too, which is likely to remain quite weak. that is the down side, as well. all
CNBC
Dec 30, 2012 7:30pm EST
to do when we got -- when we have a trillion dollar deficit. >> just a few days before the election day and your analysis of the polls have given the president better than 80% chance of winning re-election? >> the fact that the president leads in the polls in ohio and iowa states where you would need -- he would need to win 207 electoral votes means he's the favorite in the electoral college. >> this is the era of reflation. bernanke is writing checks, maria. >> writing checks from the -- >> my friend steve jobs has lots of cash in the bank. >> you started brewing sam adams beer in your kitchen in 1984. tell me how that happened, how -- how did you decide you wanted to brew your own beer in the kitchen? >> well, i come from six generations of brewmasters, so beer was kind of in my history, in my blood. about .06, that was still legal. >> homeless to a millionaire? >> we believed what we did would work, no matter how bad times were. >> in 2020, are we going to be in a much better place? the alternative was not the greatest health care system in the world with no problems. the alterna
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 1:00pm EST
. the facts is, if you're serious about this debt, if you're serious about deficit reduction, we have to be able to both get some new revenue. asking millionaires to pay a little bit more in marginal rates. we have to get serious about how we're going to do spending cuts in the right way. republicans have said department of defense shouldn't be on the table. we shouldn't demand more of the 50 seat accountability from across government. we are putting spending cuts on the table and investing for economic growth on the table. we need to stop having a discussion about who the bad guy is and start getting serious about getting this done. >> good luck on sunday night. we're all looking forward to seeing what you guys get done on sunday night when you're back in session. it's good to have you on. we have a market flash. >>> michelle, want to take a check on the share of facebook today. reversing some of the losses on reports that ichb stay gram had lost 25% of its users since it changed its service. the data came from a firm called app data. doing a bit of a deeper dive saying that the
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 6:00am EST
we were going to cut the deficit. and, in fact, it was a new entitlement that now is going to cost $12 trillion. we're not that far apart on that issue. i've always thought it would cost a lot of money. >> we're going to have your wife call into the show a little later. >> there is a place of frustration there in any twosome, there's a place for someone who doesn't have to be. >> that's true. you're carson. >> can you do that? >> well -- >> you can't do ed mcmahon? >> i'll work on that. who was conan scott? he had a guy, andy richter. >> no, don't do that. you would have to put on a bunch of weight. >> andy was from my hometown in massachusetts. >> was he? >> yeah. >> let's check on the markets. down 47. we came back, closed down just 18 points yesterday. that's the first time in history where someone said that the house coming back in the markets went you up. usually the government comes into session and the markets go down. we're indicated down about 47 points today. oil has been amazingly strong considering that if we -- you know, the forecast for going over the cliff and shavin
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 1:00pm EST
think it has a tremendous potential. we have a production deficit. i think future demand underestimated at this point. particularly in the second half of the year, could be a big winner. >> that would suggest a global growth play. >> it would improve growth, not necessarily explosive growth, but it would express china, for example, the rest of asia. >> favorite commodity in the agricultures? >> i would say corn. there's a battle for the acreage going on between corn, soy beans, cotton. they are all grown in the same area. the demand for corn from both an ethanol standpoint and also from a food calorie standpoint is going to be huge. potential sleeper, copper, because it's the least favored on a price basis so they're not going to be planning much. we could -- >> copper? >> cotton. >> i thought you said copper. >> i might have. >> planting copper, you've got me there, baby. >> they could be a substantial decline in cotton acreage. >> simon? >> can we just take you back to copper. we had a mention of this earlier in the show. the fact that you have these two physically back
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 12:00pm EST
ed consecutive gains. the home market is seeing a strong recovery. >> you have two deficit confederacy conversations where it has turned around and the second, if you believe it has, the stocks over the past year. for the first question, are we on the up and up? we had robert shiller of case-shiller a week ago, who said he wasn't sold we bottomed. is he wrong? >> yes. i believe he's wrong. there's little doubt at this point home prices bottomed in late 2011 andtron recovery in 2012 and expect more gains in 2013 as more homes come on the marketplace being pulled out of negative equity but we expect home valuation in 2013. we don't foresee further price decline is in the market right now. >> how much demand is being pulled back or healld back by sh a low rate private sector borrower cost environment. we have investors sitting on the sideline believing rates and mortgages wilton rise lower and lower and not until they actually rise will they step out and make that purchase. >> you're right, definitely once mortgage rates begin to move up, you will see that impulse of people ge
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 2:00pm EST
big review of fha's policy says the agency, which by the way is running at a $16 billion deficit this year, may be doing more harm than good. ed pinto joins us now. ed, you went back and reviewed more than 2 million different mortgages. everybody says the fha is good for america. you beg to differ. how come? >> thank you, brian. pleasure to be here. fha is really a tale of two neighborhoods. it makes low risk loans relatively speaking in certain neighborhoods and it makes high risk loans in other neighborhoods. it calls the average okay although as you indicated it's actually has the substantial negative net worth. it calls it on the average that it's okay. the average doesn't work for the 9 nourks neighborhoods that we studied where the average foreclosure rate for the 2009 and 2010 originations, which were well after the financial collapse, where those originations are expected to have about a 10% foreclosure rate minimum and an average foreclosure rate of about 15%. so it's really putting borrowers in these neighborhoods on a tight rope without a safety net and they're literally a
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 6:00am EST
run. and then there's palladium. the market will turn to a deficit on 2013 in the increasing demand in the auto industry where palladium is used in systems for cars. combined with the global system supply. a rally that began in earnest at the end of 2012 will go into overdrive in the new year. . >> joining us now is dan dickert. you just said palladium. that's a big pick for you? >> i was surprised that sharon spoke about palladium. it was my sleeper bet for 2013. >> what's going on with palladium? >> it's a real industrial metal. it's in short supply. it's undertraded, underowned and one of those industrial metals. it's one of those sleeper metal plays that you can make. used in vehicles? >> in the cat converters. that's the main use for them. there's a real shortage that's been going on in palladium. >> look into the crystal ball. give us an oil price if you came back here a year from today. >> this is the toughest one ever. this is the third year i've conpredictions for you twice. it's not so bad. >> you said it would fluctuate? >> there was one guy who said it would rachet between
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 12:00pm EST
have a massive decline in the deficit for doing nothing. i do think it works right now but i don't see a lot of upside. it is a place to hide. >> good stuff as always. see you on the other side of the new year. wish you the best. >> thank you. >> mike santelli yahoo finance. let me pose the question as i did before in this segment this way. how much is a deal worth to the stock market? >> i think a deal is worth probably 500 points in the stock market if for no other reason than the fact if you're talking about certainty right now we're under this cloud. we have no certainty whatsoever. so for that reason i think stocks like apple, for instance, one of those we've been talking about for a month. why are they selling off apple? fundamentally as the story changed? absolutely not. a hundred and some odd dollars lower than it was. >> i think a deal gets us to 4% to 5% we've given back, gets the s&p back up to its high of 1475. >> i think it's also what it checks on the down side. we're a consumer driven economy. you can see the consumer confidence number falling off the cliff, very dis
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 12:00pm EST
ceiling one or two months forward to a potential for deficits to remain in the trillion dollar category going forward. so as that symptomatic or emblemattic of a type of credit, perhaps not. we would very much watch the fiscal situation as it develops over the next several years and the ability to reduce entitlements, to raise taxes, to bring it into balance. >> and finally, bill, before i let you go, 2012 will certainly be remembered for the statement that you made that the cult of equity is dying and whether it's jack bogul that was on the program who says he disagrees, and you can say he was talking his book as others say you were talking yours, but you get the idea he disagrees with that. many other people on this network flat out disagree with that statement. what would make you change your mind and do you regret making that comment? >> well, first of all, you have to understand, i said that the cult of equity is dying, i didn't say that stocks would out perform bonds as pimico believes that's the case. the cult of dying means investors are losing faith in the stock market. and you
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 2:00pm EST
. that's an 8% budget deficit to gdp. we're in the same realm as spain. we're not -- we do not have good optics here. i think it's going to get worse before it gets better. >> craig, you know, i understand that we need a real good kick in the pants, in the fiscal pants if you like, right, to get this house in order. at the same time, if we go over that cliff, this is real money to real people. this is money being taken out of people's paychecks. this is some people losing their unemployment benefits. all kinds of things could happen. how bad could it be? >> well, it certainly could be bad. just as an example of that, if you look at the payroll tax cut alo alone, that doesn't seem to be on the board. that could be an increase in the gasoline tax of $1.25 a gallon. there will be effects, but that has to happen at some point. we've been living on sugar high for too long now. at some point we have to get back to fiscal discipline. there's going to be some pain involved. >> craig, politicians don't get re-elected by not giving out candy. they get elected by giving out candy. >> i agree.
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 4:00am EST
anything, there could be a peace dividend if we got to that where we would cut the budget deficit, a la happened in the '90s. i don't think you should look at this issue in a way to make money off it, though. it's really not a need mover. as a matter of fact, it can be negative for a lot of the defense companies as we know. they've been under a cloud because of these cuts. here's one from danny in new york. jim, i heard you say when considering playing the downside of an equity that you would short the stock rather than buy a put. please elaborate on your reasoning. i favor puts to avoid the high risk of a short position. danny, so glad you sent me this. if i created any misperception that i favor shorting stocks, it is out of character with all my books and what i used to do at my hedge fund or working at goldman sachs or trading for myself. i do puts, layerly shorts. i was a victim of hortishort squeeze that's lost me a ton of money. use puts. i don't care if there's a premium. all right. let's go to some tweets. here's one from bkelly019. covered calls allow moo to print money out
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 6:00pm EST
years, we're doing that every five months when it comes to the deficit. $100 billion more person month that we spend over what we take in. you have to have bigger cuts on the table to get republicans to come along. >> we're only paying for 40% of what we spend today. it's interesting to see and what the futures are doing right now. very thinly traded at this hour on a friday evening it would be interesting to see and what they signal in terms of where we stand, now that we've heard from the president and some sort of modest optimism from both leader reid and minority leader mitch mcconnell. >> tyler, we want to go back to eamon javers. >> you just said when will we hear now from the president again? nbc news is tweeting that barack obama will appear as a guest on "meet the press" this weekend. when we will hear from the president again will be sunday morning. something to watch out for over the weekend. presumably, we'll get incremental details on what this deal is. as this is negotiated throughout friday night, into saturday and the president's appearance into sunday morning. >> presi
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 4:00pm EST
the way they are in the fiscal cliff takes $7.3 trillion out of deficit over ten years, isn't that what we really have to do? it seems to me i would really be interested in investing in american equities if i knew the financial situation was under hold >> you say the ends justify the means, no matter how painful? >> it doesn't matter how painful it is and it will be a short shallow recession if we go into it. if we kick the can down the road as so many of you are saying we hope would happen. that's not what should happen for the long-term future of the country. >> you're saying, come on, folks, let's settle. it won't be that big of a deal. right? >> i do disagree with howard a little bit in that i don't think cutting $7.3 trillion, the way this deal says that we should, is the best way to -- to deal with our long-term budget issues. kind of like, you know, you know you have to lose weight so you starve yourself as opposed to some sort of pragmatic balance of, you know, diet and exercise and this deal doesn't get you to the pragmatic part. the flip side, one, cbo projections about f
CNBC
Dec 24, 2012 12:00pm EST
sustainability just isn't right. we can't run trillion dollar deficits for a year and expect to get away with that long term. so i think there is a trade-off here in terms of some penalty to growth next year. longer term there are benefits though and going into the year i think you just have to have maybe a little cash in the portfolio but be looking to put money to work in companies that are going to survive, good balance sheets and consistent profitability. stocks are cheap relative to bonds so i don't want to get too defensive here. >> you were with us at the top of the hour and made clear you were on hold until you see something about a fiscal cliff resolution of some kind. is there nothing you would buy between now and the end of the year? >> nothing. maybe some inverse etfs, bill, quite honestly. i want to see not just fiscal cliff resolution but i want to see q 1 earnings. i'm sorry. q 4 earnings. last quarter's earnings were not all that exciting. we really saw the european effect take hold in a lot of these companies really laboring and a lot have bounced back. i think agai
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 4:00pm EST
. >> if republicans think that i will finish the job of deficit reduction through spending cuts alone without asking also equivalent sacrifice from millionaires or companies with a lot of lobbyists, et cetera, if they think that's going to be the formula for how to solve this thing, they've got another thing coming. >> let's get some reaction now with senate john barrasso. have asked vice president biden to come to capitol hill to sell the deal to democratic lawmakers. what do you make of that headline? >> i know the republicans are going to meet at 4:30 this afternoon. all the republicans in the senate to go over the proposal. it sounds like the democrats are as well. but the democrats have been very divided over the level for raising taxes, over how to tax small businesses which are the job makers in this country, as well as the death tax which hits so many small businesses and farms and ranches and job creators. so the democrats are divided. we're going to meet at 4:30 to go over the specifics of the agreement to see if it's something that we will vote for. >> how are you on the re
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 5:00pm EST
there will be any reform on titlements. the deficit has been improving. the federal deficit has improved over the last couple quarters. >> so is it the case that perhaps because the economy has done better that perhaps that would save us from a credit rating downgrade even if we go over the cliff? >> i don't expect another downgrade from the other rating firms. the next step would be putting it on negative watch. all three major credit rating firms have a negative outlook. the next step is a negative watch and then a downgrade. we don't expect that to happen. especially if the debt ceiling is raised, which is likely, not many people have been speaking about it, but that's likely to come out over the next couple of weeks. then there's the entitlement reform, which probably is more importantly actually than the deficit talks. >> so in terms of entitlement reform, if we have a mini deal, so to speak, where certain tax rates are maintained for the middle class, let's say, but the amount of time in which entitlement reform can be worked out is an extended time frame that could actual
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 7:00pm EST
the fiscal cliff talks but it is relevant to the larger issue of debt and deficits. the treasury can move money around in certain ways to extend the point where we actually reach a crisis for probably a couple of months. but this is an early warning sign. secondly, republicans in the house sent word to democrats in the senate, white house, it is your turn now. we acted to put off the fiscal cliff several months ago with a bill that without objection tend all of those bush tax rates into the future and would turn off the sequester by switching defense cuts over to domestic programs. democrats, of course have no intention of doing that. especially after president obama won the election. senate democratic leadership aide tells me that will remains a 50/50 chance we will get a mini deal temporary extension of tax cuts under $250,000 before the january 1 deadline when we would go over the cliff. will are no assurances of that. a white house official told me as president obama prepares to fly back to conduct and participate in the negotiations at the end, there has been no progress over th
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 4:00pm EST
rates go down. i used to trade during graham/rudman and i remember when they couldn't get deficit conversations right, treasuries went down and stocks went down. oh, would i love to get back to that type of reality. >> yeah. but you had a different guy at the federal reserve at the time. >> yeah, a different guy, you know, in hindsight he was maybe the monetizer in charge -- in chief, and we get a little historical perspective on that, but as many things that i disagree with alan greenspan on, i thought he was at least more forthright into what he was doing, and even going after the government per se a bit when there were tax issues, all av d avoided by the current chairman ben bernanke, and even though he avoids the conversation, he doesn't avoid giving congress the biggest fire hose in the world filled with free water. >> i love those kind of fire hoses on every corner, please. >> what's that, david? >> bernanke is the most aggressive fed governor we will ever know in the last 40 or 50 years with the monetary stimulation that began in november 2008. >> well her, needed to be? >>
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 9:00am EST
and losing retailers this holiday season and what kind of deficit the losers are facial as we go into the new year. "squawk on the street" is back in a minute. [ male announcer ] feeling like a shadow of your former self? c'mon, michael! get in the game! [ male announcer ] don't have the hops for hoops with your buddies? lost your appetite for romance? and your mood is on its way down. you might not just be getting older. you might have a treatable condition called low testosterone or low t. millions of men, forty-five or older, may have low t. so talk to your doctor about low t. hey, michael! [ male announcer ] and step out of the shadows. hi! how are you? [ male announcer ] learn more at isitlowt.com. [ laug hey! [ male announcer ] it's that time of year again. time for citi price rewind. because your daughter really wants that pink castle thing. and you really don't want to pay more than you have to. only citi price rewind automatically searches for the lowest price. and if it finds one, you get refunded the difference. just use your citi card and register your purchase online. hav
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 3:00pm EST
solution that gets at our deficit and reduce our debt everything has to be on the table and we'll deal with it. it's great to have rules. we just like to know what they are so we can make the right investments moving forward. >> even if it puts us in a climate of slow growth, even more slow growth than the economy which would be the kind of a climate where you as a ceo wouldn't want to invest in that anyway, you know what i mean? >> so i think a grand bargain won't create a slow economy. i think it will restore confidence and we'll all invest. we'll know what the rules are and the game plan is. weied be ready to move ahead. we have opportunities to grow all the way around the world. we need to know where to put our capital investment. if we know what the rules are, we'll invest. 60% to 65% of our costs are people and we put people back to work every day. >> you don't expect a grand bargain? >> no. >> meaning? >> a short-term fix and perhaps a recession. they talk about this bungee approach and i don't think that's helpful. let's take it away from american businesses and take it away fr
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 7:00pm EST
poor increases military spending? so it adds to the deficit and only is willing to raise taxes on millionaires and above and that is getting through the senate. so what you're saying the reverse is true when you look at the house. boehner can pass the senate bill tomorrow as harry reid said today, but he doesn't want to do it with democrats and he wants a majority of the majority. is there anything wrong? wouldn't you like a bipartisan coming together here and everybody's in this? >> it would not be at all, and any of the plans at all, joy. and they campaign on three to one spending on we haven't seen anything like that come out of the senate. and they will not do anything to come out of the senate. >> john boehner can't get his own caulk us to take a vote on his idea to only raise the tax rates. he can't even get his own caucus to do that and he's been humiliated over and over by his own caulk us and he can solve it tomorrow. >> joy ann, harry reid hasn't passed a budget in years. >> he's passed a solution to this crisis. we're talking about the fiscal cliff. >> it hasn't got ens
CNBC
Dec 24, 2012 6:00am EST
july. >> there's a lot of people that say what we need to do, we can run a 2% deficit. we need to get back to "x" amount of revenue, and "y" amount of government spending. and most people say somewhere between like 18 revenue, 20 spending, maybe 19 revenue, 21 pending. given what the democrats and the white house are offering on the spending cuts, do you feel that maybe they're thinking they want to keep it at 23, 22, 24? we're not seeing anything that gets us anywhere near 20 or 21 in terms of the offers we're seeing from them. are we? >> no. no. i mean, this would be like, you know, in 1969, we landed the first man on the moon. but it would have never happened if -- the only thing they worried about was exactly how the, you know, the lunar module was going to land, but not how they were going to leave the atmosphere of the earth. you can't worry about the little details on these tax issues. as much as the winners of the election want to punish the rich, because i can't think of any other reason that we dwell so much on that side of it, the rest of it, what did i read? senator corker
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